Who controls Congress and the statehouses?
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Early vote (as of 1 Nov 2026). Reported early-vote composition for North Carolina, Georgia, Florida and Harris County, Texas SOURCED, with projections by G. Elliott Morris, Strength In Numbers, 1 Nov ANALYST, appears on the NC-SEN, GA-SEN, GA-GOV, TX-SEN and FL-GOV race pages. Party registration is not vote choice, and Election Day voting usually narrows early-vote gaps. These figures are context only and are not an input to this forecast.