Ohio Governor (open; DeWine term-limited)

Amy Acton (open seat) (D) vs Vivek Ramaswamy (open seat) (R) · race report as of 2026-10-28

Acton +3-4 in nonpartisan polls; Ramaswamy holds a large cash edge

Why this race matters

86.6%Catalyst Democratic win chance ANALYST
Likely D
10.9%Tipping-point share ANALYST
decisive seat for control
Lean DRater consensus SOURCED
8 ratings
77.5%Governor majority: Democratic (Republican 13.3%, 25–25 tie 9.2%) ANALYST

Catalyst forecast v2.2, as of 2026-11-02. Tipping-point share = share of simulations in which this race supplies the decisive seat. Rater consensus from published ratings. Methodology and sources.

Where it stands

Sources

Every figure above is linked to its source where it appears. FEC figures: fec.gov candidate and committee filings.

Gaps