Ohio's 7th District: Brian Poindexter (D) vs Max Miller (R)
Brian Poindexter (D) vs Max Miller (R) · race report as of 2026-10-28
Model Tilt R; Democratic-sponsored polls show Poindexter ahead; Poindexter has a cash edge
Why this race matters
Toss-up
Catalyst forecast v2.2, as of 2026-11-02. Tipping-point share = share of simulations in which this race supplies the decisive seat. Rater consensus from published ratings. Methodology and sources.
FEC: Brian (H6OH07168): receipts $3.72M, cash on hand $0.79M (through 2026-10-14); outside spending for $0.87M / against $1.13M. 48-hour notices since 10/15: 11 filings, $0.18M itemized. SOURCED
FEC: Miller, Max (H2OH16051): receipts $3.32M, cash on hand $0.14M (through 2026-10-14); outside spending for $0.00M / against $0.37M. 48-hour notices since 10/15: 5 filings, $0.04M itemized. SOURCED
Redistricting context (SOURCED): Ohio Redistricting Commission's Oct 31, 2025 bipartisan map made OH-1 and OH-9 more Republican; Trump would have won them by 3 and 11 pts in 2024 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Ohio, citing cleveland.com 2025-10-31).6 R seats: not re-verified this pass.
Where it stands
Polls (SOURCED): RedBox Research (D), Oct 20–23, LV ±4.1: Poindexter 46–42. Bedrock Polling (D), Aug 7–10 (older).
Money (SOURCED): FEC as of Oct 14: Poindexter raised $3,720,342, cash $793,675; Miller raised $3,324,942, cash $135,629. No AdImpact figure found.
Ratings: Not retrieved this pass.
Debates / early vote: no district debate found; statewide early vote 1,190,464 as of 10/28 (On Point Politics tracker, secondary); no district split.
Sources
Every figure above is linked to its source where it appears. FEC figures: fec.gov candidate and committee filings.
Gaps
Not yet confirmed: AdImpact, ads and roll calls behind them, campaign homepage quotes, debates, district early vote.